Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.303456 0.361223 0.431171 0.523447 0.644042 0.799318 1.019554
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.218594 0.285761 0.378586 0.521473 0.746318 1.107288 1.782092
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169065 0.235368 0.335793 0.509071 0.825324 1.441596 2.960045
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143457 0.210141 0.319115 0.526815 0.961964 1.994452 5.505260
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120902 0.183437 0.291248 0.512299 1.027703 2.470908 9.184830
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107233 0.168050 0.278287 0.520857 1.151346 3.268847 18.035927
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095027 0.152660 0.261268 0.514154 1.233999 4.083435 35.019571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087180 0.143615 0.254297 0.527828 1.388289 5.531122 93.720021
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081401 0.137371 0.251489 0.550837 1.596461 7.902863 423.340573
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075934 0.130810 0.246516 0.566490 1.798070 11.156768 5529.962755
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071472 0.125554 0.243313 0.586311 2.044841 16.486257 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067145 0.119942 0.238144 0.598596 2.278938 24.179554 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062996 0.114280 0.232107 0.607432 2.523843 36.539235 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058809 0.108041 0.223599 0.605452 2.716582 53.703578 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054571 0.101207 0.212448 0.590472 2.815611 73.533655 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052237 0.098332 0.211129 0.612172 3.234270 146.864308 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048726 0.092404 0.200657 0.594472 3.315437 213.333463 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046518 0.089241 0.197273 0.604919 3.689415 478.850652 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043935 0.084944 0.190055 0.596742 3.878928 955.959024 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042311 0.082747 0.188500 0.613436 4.406845 4655.659068 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041097 0.081406 0.189233 0.641591 5.198437 508575.700632 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039727 0.079541 0.188099 0.660792 5.974446 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038554 0.078045 0.187874 0.685159 6.995442 NaN NaN